Wednesday, October 10, 2007

Wake Us for Game Four?

When it comes to game four of the ALCS, the Red Sox have an interesting choice to make. Assuming he is able, should Tim Wakefield start or should the Sox pitch Josh Beckett on three days rest?

Pros of starting Wakefield / Cons of starting Beckett:

  • Beckett would get 5 days rest for his 2nd start, instead of 3.
  • Schilling would get 6 days rest for his 2nd start, instead of 5.
  • Dice-K would get 5 days rest for his 2nd start, instead of 4.
  • Historically, pitchers have not been at their best in the postseason on 3 days rest.
  • If the Red Sox win in 7 games, Beckett could start game 1 of the World Series.

Pros of starting Beckett / Cons of starting Wakefield

  • Wakefield has not pitched since Sept. 29, and has been nursing a balky back.
  • Beckett on 3 days rest may be better than Wakefield, even if Beckett is not at his 100% best.
  • Beckett pitched a complete game shutout (5H, 2BB, 9K, 107P) on 3 days rest in the 2003 World Series against the Yankees.
  • Beckett could make 3 starts, including a potential game 7 on normal rest, instead of Dice-K starting a game 7.

Comments?

3 comments:

dloughin said...

What about Lester?

curt said...

If Wakefield is not healthy enough to pitch game four, the same points would apply to Jon Lester, except that he hasn't started since Sept. 26 (2 inning relief appearance Sept. 30), and doesn't have a balky back.

dloughin said...

That's what I figured...but in my mind Lester > Limping Wake > Beckett on 3 Days + Losing Him for the World Series.